JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC DYNAMICS & CONTROL经济动态与控制杂志
JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC DYNAMICS & CONTROL(英文缩写 J ECON DYN CONTROL),ISSN 0165-1889,eISSN 1879-1743,中文译名:经济动态与控制杂志 是一本学术期刊。本页汇总该期刊的最新影响因子、分区信息以及最新收录于 PubMed 的文献,帮助您快速了解期刊全貌。
发文量统计区间：2025-10-01 至 2026-09-30，按本站收录文献的发表日期统计。
期刊介绍
历年影响因子趋势
| JCR 数据年份 | 影响因子 | JCR 分区 |
|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 1.620 | Q3 |
| 2022 | 1.900 | Q3 |
| 2023 | 1.900 | Q2 |
| 2024 | 2.300 | Q2 |
| 2025 | 1.800 | Q2 |
JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC DYNAMICS & CONTROL 最新收录文献
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1. Impacts of social distancing policy and vaccination during the COVID-19 pandemic in the Republic of Korea.
PMID:日期:2023-03-20This paper investigates the dynamic impact of social distancing policy on coronavirus disease (COVID-19) infection control, mobility of people, and consumption expenditures in the Republic of Korea. We employ structural and threshold vector autoregressive (VAR) models using big-data-driven mobility data, credit card expenditure, and a social distancing index. We find that the social distancing policy significantly reduces the spread of COVID-19, but there exists a significant, growing trade-off between infection control and economic activity over time. When the level of stringency in social distancing is already high, its marginal effect on mobility is estimated to be smaller than when social distancing stringency is low. The effect of social distancing also becomes secondary after vaccination. Increased vaccination is found to significantly reduce the critical cases while it increases visitors and consumption expenditures. The results also show that the effect of social distancing policy on mobility reduction is strongest among the population of age under 20 and the weakest among the population of age over 60.
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2. Firm behavior during an epidemic.
PMID:日期:2022-12-31We derive a model in which firms operate in an epidemic environment and internalize infections among their employees in the workplace. The model is calibrated to fit the moments of the Covid-19 epidemic. We show that firms have incentives to fight against infections and can do so very effectively by increasing teleworking and rotating employees between on-site work, teleworking, and leave. The fight against infections in firms flattens the aggregate infections curve. Subsidies to teleworking reduce infections and save lives. Subsidies to sick leave reduce the cost of sick workers and raise workplace infections. Firms delay and weaken the fight against infections during economic downturns. We also consider the problem of a government that values output and lives. We show that the government prefers to severely restrict the epidemic by tolerating short-term output losses when it has a high valuation of life.
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3. The long-term impact of the COVID-19 unemployment shock on life expectancy and mortality rates.
PMID:日期:2022-12-05We adopt a time series approach to investigate the historical relation between unemployment, life expectancy, and mortality rates. We fit Vector-autoregressions for the overall US population and for groups identified based on gender and race. We use our results to assess the long-run effects of the COVID-19 economic recession on mortality and life expectancy. We estimate the size of the COVID-19-related unemployment shock to be between 2 and 5 times larger than the typical unemployment shock, depending on race and gender, resulting in a significant increase in mortality rates and drop in life expectancy. We also predict that the shock will disproportionately affect African-Americans and women, over a short horizon, while the effects for white men will unfold over longer horizons. These figures translate in more than 0.8 million additional deaths over the next 15 years.
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4. Risk communication clarity and insurance demand: The case of the COVID-19 pandemic.
PMID:日期:2022-11-03We study how the clarity of COVID-19 risk communications affects COVID-19 insurance demand using proprietary prefecture-level insurance data from China. We find that when local disclosures of COVID-19 risk contain case origin information, local purchases of COVID-19 insurance and local Internet searches for COVID-19 information increase, even after controlling for newly confirmed local cases and new deaths. Our results are robust to using the disclosure clarity of a major neighboring city. The findings suggest that providing improved knowledge about risk to individuals lead them to engage in more risk management. Our evidence contributes to the debate over how risk communication affects individuals' risk-related behaviors.
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5. Forecasting the propagation of pandemic shocks with a dynamic input-output model.
PMID:日期:2022-09-13We introduce a dynamic disequilibrium input-output model that was used to forecast the economics of the COVID-19 pandemic. This model was designed to understand the upstream and downstream propagation of the industry-specific demand and supply shocks caused by COVID-19, which were exceptional in their severity, suddenness and heterogeneity across industries. The model, which was inspired in part by previous work on the response to natural disasters, includes the introduction of a new functional form for production functions, which allowed us to create bespoke production functions for each industry based on a survey of industry analysts. We also introduced new elements for modeling inventories, consumption and labor. The resulting model made accurate real-time forecasts for the decline of sectoral and aggregate economic activity in the United Kingdom in the second quarter of 2020. We examine some of the theoretical implications of our model and find that the choice of production functions and inventory levels plays a key role in the propagation of pandemic shocks. Our work demonstrates that an out of equilibrium model calibrated against national accounting data can serve as a useful real time policy evaluation and forecasting tool.
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6. The euro area's pandemic recession: A DSGE-based interpretation.
PMID:日期:2022-08-17This paper augments the European Commission's open-economy DSGE model (GM) with COVID-specific shocks ('forced savings', labour hoarding) and financially-constrained investors to account for the extreme volatility of private domestic demand and hours worked during COVID-19, and it estimates the model on euro area data for the period 1998q4-2021q4. It takes a pragmatic approach of adapting the workhorse model of a policy institution to COVID-19 data. 'Forced savings' are central to explain quarterly real GDP growth during the pandemic, complemented by contributions from foreign demand and trade, and the negative impact of persistently higher savings after the first wave. We provide extensive model validation, including a comparison to off-model evidence for COVID-related restrictions, and a comparison of different model specifications.
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7. Macroeconomic expectations, central bank communication, and background uncertainty: A COVID-19 laboratory experiment.
PMID:日期:2022-06-26This paper explores the robustness of laboratory expectation formation and public signal credibility to external uncertainty shocks and online experimentation. We exploit the recent pandemic as a source of exogenous background uncertainty in a New Keynesian learning-to-forecast experiment (LtFE) where participants receive projections of varying precision about future inflation. We compare results from identical LtFE completed immediately before the onset of the pandemic, soon after (online), and well after (online and in-person). Baseline LtFEs with no communication are robust to both factors. However, both background uncertainty and online experimentation impact how subjects use public signals. The pandemic led to a decreased appetite for and tolerance of overly precise communication while increasing the efficacy of projections that also convey uncertainty. Subjects became more averse to central bank forecast errors after the onset of the pandemic if the central bank conveyed a precise outlook but not if it conveyed forecast uncertainty.
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8. Optimal age-Based vaccination and economic mitigation policies for the second phase of the covid-19 pandemic.
PMID:日期:2022-06-21In this paper we ask how to best allocate a given time-varying supply of vaccines during the second phase of the Covid-19 pandemic across individuals of different ages. Building on our previous heterogeneous household model of optimal economic mitigation and redistribution (Glover et al., 2021) we contrast the actual vaccine deployment path that prioritized older, retired individuals with one that first vaccinates younger workers. Vaccinating the old first saves more lives but slows the economic recovery, relative to inoculating the young first. Vaccines deliver large welfare benefits in both scenarios (relative to a world without vaccines), but the old-first policy is optimal under a utilitarian social welfare function. The welfare gains from having vaccinated the old first are especially significant once the economy is hit by a more infectious Delta variant in the summer of 2021.
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10. Covid-19 in unequal societies.
PMID:日期:2022-02-05We document the heterogeneous effect of Covid-19 on health and economic outcomes across socioeconomic strata in Bogotá. We assess its distributional impact and evaluate policy counterfactuals in a heterogeneous agent quantitative dynamic general equilibrium model intertwined with a behavioral epidemiological model.