农业数字化能否提高农产品出口质量？
Can agricultural digitalization improve agricultural export quality?
摘要(中文译文)
在国际贸易格局不断演变的背景下，农业数字化是提升农产品出口质量（AEQ）和加快农业强国建设的重要路径。本研究基于2001年至2024年中国34个省级行政区的面板数据，构建了农业数字化综合评价指标体系，并采用个体、时间双向固定效应模型、中介效应模型和调节效应模型进行多维分析。结果表明：（1）农业数字化显著促进AEQ的提升，且在处理内生性问题并进行一系列稳健性检验后，该结论依然成立；（2）加快农业技术进步、提升农业人力资本水平和提高农业物流效率是农业数字化影响AEQ的重要传导路径；（3）农业数字化对AEQ的影响呈现多维异质性，在东部地区、粮食主产区和市场化水平较高的地区，边际效应更强；（4）政策支持和市场开放在农业数字化与AEQ的关系中发挥显著调节作用。基于上述发现，本研究提出若干政策建议，包括加快农业数字化发展、促进农业技术进步，以及建立符合地方实际、因地制宜的科学农业数字化体系。这些建议为旨在利用农业数字化提升AEQ的政策制定提供了科学依据。
Abstract
In the context of an evolving international trade landscape, agricultural digitalization represents a critical pathway for enhancing agricultural export quality (AEQ) and accelerating the development of a modern agricultural powerhouse. Using panel data from 34 provincial administrative regions in China from 2001 to 2024, this study constructs a comprehensive evaluation index system for agricultural digitalization and conducts a multidimensional analysis employing an individual, time two-way fixed effects model, a mediation effects model, and a moderation effects model. The results indicate that: (1) agricultural digitalization significantly promotes improvements in AEQ, and this conclusion remains robust after addressing endogeneity concerns and conducting a series of robustness tests; (2) accelerating agricultural technological progress, improving the level of agricultural human capital, and enhancing agricultural logistics efficiency constitute important transmission pathways through which agricultural digitalization affects AEQ; (3) the effect of agricultural digitalization on AEQ exhibits multidimensional heterogeneity, with stronger marginal effects observed in eastern regions, major grain-producing areas, and regions with higher levels of marketization; and (4) policy support and market openness play significant moderating roles in the relationship between agricultural digitalization and AEQ. Based on these findings, this study proposes several policy recommendations, including accelerating the development of agricultural digitalization, promoting agricultural technological progress, and establishing a scientific and regionally tailored agricultural digital system that reflects local conditions. These recommendations provide a scientific basis for policymaking aimed at leveraging agricultural digitalization to enhance AEQ.
如何引用
AMA
Zhichao Jiang, Xiaorun Wang, Pengling Liu. Can agricultural digitalization improve agricultural export quality?. PloS one. 2026; doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0347210.
APA
Zhichao Jiang, Xiaorun Wang, Pengling Liu (2026). Can agricultural digitalization improve agricultural export quality?. PloS one. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0347210
GB/T 7714
Zhichao Jiang, Xiaorun Wang, Pengling Liu. Can agricultural digitalization improve agricultural export quality?[J]. PloS one, 2026 doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0347210.
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